2019-20 Champions League – First Qualifying Round – 2nd Leg – Predictions



We have just edged into July and the first matches of the 2019-20 Champions League are around the corner. In this video I will try and predict the outcome of the First Qualifying Round 1st legs.

The clubs taking part at this stage include:

KF Shkëndija 79 vs JK Nõmme Kalju
FC Saburtalo vs FC Sheriff
Valletta FC vs F91 Dudelange
HB Tórshavn vs HJK Helsinki
Crvena Zvezda vs FK Sūduva
KF Feronikeli vs The New Saints
Riga FC vs Dundalk FC
AIK Solna vs FC Ararat-Armenia
Rosenborg BK vs Linfield FC
Qarabağ FK vs FK Partizani
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ferencvárosi TC
CFR Cluj vs FK Astana
Piast Gliwice vs BATE Borisov
FK Sutjeska vs Slovan Bratislava
NK Maribor vs Valur Reykjavík
Celtic FC vs FK Sarajevo

Which clubs will make it through to the next stage? Put your predictions in the comment section down below.

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📹 Paradise: Access All Areas | Celtic 2-1 FK Sarajevo | Champions League Qualifying



📹 Paradise: Access All Areas | Celtic 2-1 FK Sarajevo

Go behind the scenes at Celtic Park as competitive action returned to Paradise and the Hoops progressed to the second Qualifying Round of the #UCL.

#CELFKS #CelticFC

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SEGA Champion Character

This article is about Shadow, a female champion character from SEGA. She is an assassin, one of the deadliest kinds of fighters. Based on SEGA the eternal champions. The champions include:

1. Shadow

2. Midknight

3. Trident

4. Larcen

5. Xavier

6. Slash

7. Blade

8. Jetta

9. Rax

They hid their power for centuries and now they need to use every bit of it. The balance of good and evil has been disturbed because the world is being torn apart! These nine people can alter the course of history. From different periods in history, all with unique powers. They are cream of their profession, all with one thought in their mind, to crush the others and win the ultimate prize.

Shadow

Her fighting style is taijutsu. Her basic moves is ninjitsu. Fighting statistics:

1. speed – 4

2. endurance – 3

3. power – 3

4. recovery – 2

5. defense – 5

6. equilibrium – 4

Hired by businessmen to get rid of their rivals. Failing to complete her task does not mean losing her job… but be fired in the sort of way, involving lots of messy metal things and fights. The 1980s were a time of enormous economic boom for the major city companies around the world. Towards the end of the decade, a lot of people started to cut back on their expansion. The idea that a company like black orchid (where Shadow works) employs assassins sound far-fetched. An assassin is a professional just like any other. If Shadow beats the eternal champion, she can be the corporate assassin! But there are eight other assassins!

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A Short Biography of Soccer Player – Louis Saha

His complete name is Louis Laurent Saha. He was born on 8 August 1978 in Paris, France. Saha is a soccer player of French who has a playing position in the field as a forward. In the Premier League currently he plays for Everton club and in his countryside he is a member of the national squad of France.

His first appearance with France is in 2004 when his team won 2-0 against Belgium. Louis Saha stood for France team at the 2004 European Football Championships as well as the 2006 FIFA World Cup which his team got to the final.

His career in club level is with Metz, Fulham, Manchester United, and then Everton. In 1996 Louis Saha began his soccer career with Metz youth academy. In two years Saha starts on the senior lineup of Metz and getting into 47 appearances in favor of the club. In 2000 Saha was moved to Fulham for a fee of £2.1million and as long as his stay at the club in amount of 120 appearances he made 63 goals. In 2004 He was moved to Manchester United club with transfer value of £12.8 million. And in his first season he scored 15 goals for them. He was transferred to Everton for an unrevealed cost, making a sign of a two year agreement with this club.

Saha won same honors as long as his career as professional soccer player and some of them are with Fulham (Football League First Division (1): 2000-2001), and with Manchester United (Premier League (2): 2006-2007, 2007- 2008; Football League Cup (1): 2005- 2006; UEFA Champions League (1): 2007- 2008).

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TOTTENHAM X MANCHESTER CITY – CHAMPIONS LEAGUE QUARTAS DE FINAL (PRÉ-JOGO)



TOTTENHAM X MANCHESTER CITY – CHAMPIONS LEAGUE QUARTAS DE FINAL (PRÉ-JOGO)

Nesta terça-feira tem duelo inglês nas quartas de final da Liga dos Campões. Tottenham x Manchester City. Tem favorito pra esse jogo? Confere aí minha análise!

#championsleague #ligadoscampeoes #tottenham #mancity

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LIVERPOOL X PORTO – CHAMPIONS LEAGUE QUARTAS DE FINAL (PRÉ-JOGO)
Link do vídeo:

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LeBron and the Law of Attraction

LeBron is the epitome of the law of attraction. Why? Because he has the perfect body for basketball. He has a love in his life and 2 great children. He makes a lot of money from commercials and minority owner in the English Soccer Team. He appears to have great friends and gets to play basketball with his friends. He has dedicated his life since high school or even before that to be the best basketball player he can be.

Whether people like or dislike him right now is irrelevant. It breaks my heart to see people criticize or dislike him intensely him. I don’t like to use the word hate. Hate is a strong word and strong emotion and no one should ever hate anyone. Even if he shows a tough outer shell, I know it hurts him. He never hurt anybody or committed a crime. People who criticize LeBron James should look in the mirror before they throw the first stone at LeBron.

LeBron is an inspiration to me in my life. If I want something I have to work hard at it. The one thing that law of attraction has taught me is that the closer you get to your goal, if doubt seeps in you won’t achieve that goal.

I watched LeBron and the Heat throughout the 2010-2011 season. Few people thought the Heat would make it past the Boston Celtics-they did or the Chicago Bulls-they did. Everything pointed to the Heat to win the championship. So what happened?

I believe that the closer LeBron got to winning the championship, doubt started creeping in. Maybe he put too much pressure on himself but nonetheless, the closer he got to his 1st NBA championship, it appeared he starting doubting that finally he could win the championship.

It broke my heart when they lost but Dirk Nowitzki won so I don’t feel as bad. If the Boston Celtics or the Los Angeles Lakers had won, I would have been upset.

I believe LeBron needs a sports psychologist or a Master in Law of Attraction to help him see that ring on his finger and mentally go through the last games as getting all his basketball shots.

Though LeBron did not win the championship and I wish the Heat would have won, he showed me that go after your goal and don’t ever doubt it can happen otherwise your goal cannot be achieved. LeBron appears to be a kind and loving man and he gave to his fans as much as he could.

This is where LeBron has inspired me. Go after your goal and let go of your doubts if you want to achieve your goal. I believe LeBron will win a championship but first he has to believe it is possible at the last minute.

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Football Betting – End-of-Season Games

Everyone loves a trier, especially when it comes to putting down your readies. There’s nothing more galling for punters than to realise that your selection was ‘not off’ and that you’ve not even had a fair run for your money.

Blanket television coverage and the greater transparency of the betting exchanges have raised awareness of the ‘non-trier’ issue in horse racing, but football punters need to be on their guard too. It’s clear that all is not well in the world of football, judging by the recent match-fixing scandal in Germany involving referee Robert Hoyzer, ongoing investigations into some Italian results and irregular betting patterns on obscure European and international matches.

Thankfully, the consistency of results in the bigger leagues (and especially in England) indicates that there is no reason for lack of punter confidence. The main problem – as in horse racing – lies around the margins, in those matches (or races) not subject to the full glare of the media spotlight and where skulduggery is less likely to arouse suspicion.

All very trying

However, my research suggests the ‘non-trier’ issue does rear its ugly head towards the end of the season, even in the major leagues. Most leagues are competitive enough to ensure they go right to the wire in the battles for championships, places in Europe and safety from relegation.

But, inevitably, some teams have nothing left to play for in the final weeks of the season, which is where problems can arise.

The last few weekends of a league season feature three types of match:

1. Matches between two teams with nothing to play for.

2. Matches between two teams with something to play for.

3. Matches between one team with something to play for and one team with nothing to play for.

Out of focus

The commitment of either team cannot be taken for granted in the first category, so the most sensible betting strategy towards the end of the season is to focus on categories two and three.

Matches in the second category should be assessed using your usual techniques. (Anybody who doesn’t know needs to read our football betting articles on inside-edge-mag.co.uk – Ed), but the best betting opportunities often lie in category three, where there’s always the potential for a ‘non-trier’.

This isn’t to suggest that anything underhand takes place in these games, merely that a slight drop in focus by one team can make all the difference in a competitive league such as the English Premiership.

There may be many reasons for this drop in focus – including the widely held view that some players are ‘on their holidays’ before the end of the season. It’s equally likely that, given the demands of modern football, a player who has been carrying an injury will be rested once his team has nothing left to play for, or that there may be some easing off in training sessions. Whatever the reasons, our results at the bottom of this article show a team with something to play for is more likely to win a match against a team with nothing to play for.

Across the top three English divisions and the major European leagues that we analysed (Spanish Liga, German Bundesliga and French Ligue 1), these matches usually produce a win rate of 50-60% for the team with something to play for, and a win rate of 20-30% for the team with nothing to play for. The stats vary a bit from year to year and league to league, but overall are pretty consistent.

It’s a bone of some contention that such figures offer conclusive proof of the non-trier effect, but there’s one crucial piece of supporting evidence that swings the issue for me. If there was no link between the results and one team’s urgent need for points in such matches, we’d expect a higher win rate among higher-placed teams than those struggling near the bottom, since that’s what has been happening during the rest of the season. In fact, the win rate of teams battling to avoid relegation is abnormally high in such matches at the end of the season – virtually on a par with the win rate achieved by teams at the top of the table who are chasing titles, places in Europe or play-off slots.

Fight for survival

For example, the last five seasons of the English Premiership have produced a win rate of 55% for teams with something to play for. That figure does not vary, no matter whether the team is in the top six or the bottom six.

It’s a similar story in other leagues, though the win rate of relegation-threatened teams in such matches does tend to be slightly lower overall than that achieved by teams near the top of the table.

So, do these stats alone offer a good betting opportunity? The simple answer is no, but there are some refining touches that can put these figures to good advantage.

Let’s look at the overall picture first. A 55% win rate would give a tidy profit margin if the average odds available were evens, but that’s unlikely to be the case in matches where one team has something to play for and the other team doesn’t.

Taking the games that fell into this category last season in our featured leagues, a level-stakes bet on all the teams with something to play for would have brought a small loss. This was due, in part, to last season’s lower-than-average win rate by these teams, but a more significant factor is the reduced odds that punters are asked to accept on such teams.

How to beat the odds

The bookmakers generally factor in the ‘nothing to play for’ syndrome when pricing up end-of-season matches, though a few do slip through the net. If you’re good at making your own book on matches, you can spot these matches – otherwise, you will find it difficult to make a profit backing blind on the teams with something to play for.

The counter argument, of course, is that the value lies in backing against these sides, given that teams with nothing to play for will be available at artificially inflated odds in such matches. This doesn’t hold water, though, due to the lower win rate of these teams. The problem for punters, as outlined earlier, is to know whether these teams will be trying hard enough – the evidence suggests that, on the whole, they won’t be.

How, then, can we beat the odds? Well, a little more delving into the statistics puts more flesh on the general assumptions often made about end-of-season matches.

Starting at the top, the late-season records of league champions are very revealing. There’s clear evidence that, once a title has been secured arithmetically, there’s a widespread tendency for champions to take their foot off the gas. Last season, for instance, the Spanish and German champions were confirmed with two games to play – Valencia and Werder Bremen, the respective winners, then promptly lost their last two games.

This is far from an isolated example. In 2001, Manchester United lost their last three games, having run away with the title, though it has to be said that they had finished with four straight wins when in the same position the previous season.

Overall, however, the record of already-crowned champions suggests they’re prone to easing up once the race is won. In the leagues analysed here, the win rate of champions over the course of the season usually exceeds 60%.

Once the title has been secured, however, this dropped to an average of 57% over the past five seasons. And the fall is even more dramatic in games where they face a team with something to play for – their win rate then averages just 45%.

A ton of profit

In general, then, it’s worth opposing already-crowned champions. Last season, in the leagues featured here, this approach would have yielded a 24% profit to level stakes. If you had concentrated only on games where the opposing team still had something to play for, the strike rate in opposing the champions would have been 100% and the profit a whopping 125% to level stakes.

The only caveat is to be wary of any factor that may cause the champions to keep the pressure on – one example is Arsenal last season, when they were Premiership champions with four games to go but were keen to maintain their unbeaten record. They did so, but with only a 50% win rate in their last four games (two wins, two draws).

Another factor might be when a lower-division side is chasing a landmark such as 100 points – that was the case with Wigan Athletic in the old Division Two in 2003, when they reached three figures with two wins and a draw, even though they were already champions.

Knowing that champions ease off once they’ve nothing to play for, it’s easy to assume already-relegated sides must be even more prone to this. Again, the reality is more complicated.

Bottoming out

Overall, in the leagues analysed here, relegated teams have a 23% win rate once they’re mathematically doomed – pretty close to the average expected from relegation-zone teams over the course of the season. In other words, they don’t fall apart once all hope is gone.

In fact, relegated teams actually have a surprisingly good home record in the final weeks of the season. On average, they manage a fairly even split of wins, draws and losses at home and in none of the leagues does their number of home defeats outweigh the combined number of wins and draws – making relegated teams always worth a look on the Asian handicap at home, as they’ll rarely, if ever, be giving up a start to their opponents.

Where they perform very badly is away from home. Even more markedly, they’re usually lambs to the slaughter (home or away) versus teams still with something to play for. Their loss rate in such matches is 70% and, in the past five seasons, no relegated team recorded a single win in this type of fixture in the top leagues in France, England and Germany.

That 70% loss rate is equivalent to the odds on their opponents being around the 2/5 or 4/9 mark. The bookies are stingy about such teams, though you could still have made a profit last season backing against the relegated teams in such matches. With extra selectivity about the odds you’re prepared to take (no less than 1/2, say), the potential exists to make money on these games.

Middle-of-the-table teams is an area to tread warily. While the stats show punters generally can rely on sides scrapping for top places or battling against relegation, this isn’t the case with teams marooned in mid-table for the last few games of the season, with no incentive to move up and no fear of dropping down a few places.

The final word

In the leagues analysed here, the win rate of mid-table teams in their final games doesn’t appear too bad, averaging 33%, which is broadly in line with their overall seasonal record.

The picture isn’t so rosy, however, when the figures are narrowed down to games against teams with something still to play for. The win rate of safe mid-table teams dips to 26% and their loss rate goes up to 49% (from 41% overall).

In the end, end-of-season betting all comes down to the odds available. Pricing up these games is a difficult process, and it’s impossible to come up with hard-and-fast rules about when to bet or what odds to accept. An appreciation of the underlying stats is important, however, because end-of-season games aren’t governed by the normal rules of form and are a law unto themselves in many instances. The one golden rule is: be sure you know your selection will be trying.

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Submitted By Q

Dennis Publishing

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